Friday, March 30, 2012
Seven Questions: Unemployment through the Prism of the Great Recession
The Great Recession of 2007–09 led to a worldwide increase of 30 million in the number of people unemployed, with about half of that increase among advanced countries. This article discusses the factors behind this rise in unemployment, the reasons why countries such as Germany experienced little increase in unemployment while others were hit hard, whether policies were able to stave off an even worse outcome, and what the prospects are for labor markets in advanced countries. Here is a link to the full article.
Wednesday, March 7, 2012
Friday, March 2, 2012
House Prices in Ireland
The IMF report notes:
"House price declines accelerated in the second half of 2011, while mortgage arrears continued to rise (Figure 2). Nonetheless the rate of decline in house prices at 13.2 percent y/y in 2011, remained within the stress scenario for the bank recapitalization, which allowed for a house price decline of 17.4 percent in 2011, and a further fall of 18.8 percent in 2012. With house prices down 47.4 percent from their peak in 2007, indicators of house valuation are returning to historical norms. The value share of owner-occupied residential mortgages in arrears rose to 10.8 percent in Q3 2011. About 10.7 percent of this loan book value has undergone restructuring, mostly reducing payments to interest-only, but about half of the restructured loans are still in arrears."
"House price declines accelerated in the second half of 2011, while mortgage arrears continued to rise (Figure 2). Nonetheless the rate of decline in house prices at 13.2 percent y/y in 2011, remained within the stress scenario for the bank recapitalization, which allowed for a house price decline of 17.4 percent in 2011, and a further fall of 18.8 percent in 2012. With house prices down 47.4 percent from their peak in 2007, indicators of house valuation are returning to historical norms. The value share of owner-occupied residential mortgages in arrears rose to 10.8 percent in Q3 2011. About 10.7 percent of this loan book value has undergone restructuring, mostly reducing payments to interest-only, but about half of the restructured loans are still in arrears."
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